Udall says he can win in Pearce's 2nd District

Posted 6/27/2008 08:30:00 AM

Despite the 2nd Congressional District’s slant toward Republican candidates, Democratic Senate hopeful Tom Udall plans to win the southern region that his GOP opponent, Steve Pearce, has represented in the House since 2003.

Udall has a chance at winning here, but the 2nd District is one Pearce could also win, said New Mexico State University government professor Jose Z. Garcia. Polls have repeatedly shown Udall with a double-digit lead over Pearce statewide, but Garcia said the 2nd District will be hotly contested because of its conservative nature and familiarity with Pearce.

The key to victory in the 2nd District will likely be Doña Ana County, Garcia said. Though the east side has historically been more important, a population shift has changed the dynamics in the district.

In a recent interview in Las Cruces, Udall, the representative of the 3rd Congressional District in the northern part of the state, said he plans to campaign actively in Doña Ana County and throughout Pearce’s district. He has already made several trips to Las Cruces and plans more.

“It’s a very important county,” said Udall, who has represented voters in Doña Ana County in his past role as state attorney general.

Wilderness

One topic on the minds of many in Doña Ana County is wilderness. Pearce recently jumped into the battle over what to do with several hundred thousand acres of federal land in the county by introducing a bill that would eliminate all wilderness study areas and mandate the sale of tens of thousands of acres.

Pearce’s bill is controversial because, though many ranchers and business owners like it, a competing plan that would give hundreds of thousands of acres a permanent wilderness designation has support among local governments and the media.

U.S. Sen. Pete Domenici attempted to take an active role in trying to find compromise early on, but the division has caused him and Sen. Jeff Bingaman to stay largely on the sidelines awaiting consensus. Udall said he would take an active role in trying to resolve the situation as a senator. He said he would seek meetings with interested parties to gain a greater understanding of the contentious issues and try to find consensus on other points. He said he would work with the district’s new congressman -- Democrat Harry Teague or Republican Ed Tinsley -- to try to resolve the situation.

Immigration

Immigration and border security are hot topics in southern New Mexico, and Udall said he’s tired of the “piecemeal” approach to reform that Congress has taken thus far. He said he supports a comprehensive plan that includes additional Border Patrol agents, greater use of new technology, holding employers who hire illegal workers accountable and developing an instant background-check system for employers.

Udall said he also favors “a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants who pay a fine, pay back taxes, learn English and go to the back of the line for citizenship.”

“This is an example of the kind of issue that’s been used for politics instead of doing what’s right, and in the Senate I’m going to keep fighting to change that,” Udall said.

Udall was in Las Cruces in May for a briefing by the New Mexico National Guard on drug trafficking countermeasures along the border. Following that, he backed a program that would provide $1.5 billion to combat drug trafficking and organized crime in Mexico and Central America. The bill, Udall said in a news release, was aimed at stopping violence along the U.S.-Mexico border that has threatened to spill over into southern New Mexico.

Energy, economy

The state’s powerful oil and gas industry is based in the eastern portion of the 2nd District. Udall said he believes the industry will remain strong in New Mexico even as the nation shifts over the next 20 to 30 years to alternative energy sources.

Udall has pushed alternative energy by supporting shifting the mission of the nation’s laboratories and proposing a national renewable electricity standard. He said New Mexico will gain from the nation’s need to increase its use of solar and other renewable energy sources. Gov. Bill Richardson has attempted to attract industries that will develop new energy technologies to the state.

“This is really about where the jobs of the future are going to be,” Udall said.

He said he believes such economic development is the most important issue in southern New Mexico and will help create the “growing, vibrant communities” people want.

Udall said he wants to expand broadband access to the state’s rural areas to improve small-business opportunities and access to education. He’s a supporter of Spaceport America, which state officials predict could create thousands of new, high-paying jobs in southern New Mexico.

Richardson has for years sought federal funding for the spaceport to no avail. Udall said he is “happy to help with that.”

A tightening race

Though Udall has maintained strong leads in polls of the Senate race, he and Garcia both expect the race to tighten as the general-election season heats up. In addition to the vote in Doña Ana County, the success of Udall in Pearce’s district will depend on whether the Republican or Democratic candidates catch fire in the presidential and 2nd District House races. Udall said he is confident that he and Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama will win because of the desire for change that is sweeping the nation.

But Garcia said there’s no certainty that Obama will win the 2nd District. Hillary Clinton easily won the district in the state’s Feb. 5 Democratic primary, which propelled her to statewide victory. Many conservative Democrats who voted for Clinton often vote Republican in congressional races, which is what has made the district a Republican stronghold in the House even though the majority of registered voters are Democrats.

Still, Garcia agreed that voters’ desire for change puts Pearce at a disadvantage because he has sided with the unpopular President Bush, whose popularity is sinking, on most issues. In addition, in a year in which Democrats are expected to win greater control of Washington, Garcia said Pearce will have difficulty arguing that he can be more influential than Udall in the Senate.

‘A governing majority’

Udall has repeatedly complained that the Senate kills legislation the House approves. He said in the interview that a handful of additional votes in favor of encouraging alternative energy and other issues would make all the difference by creating “a governing majority.”

It takes 60 votes in the Senate to stop the minority from filibustering an issue. There are currently 50 Democrats, 49 Republicans and one independent in the Senate. Udall said he doesn’t necessarily want 60 Democrats in the Senate. He said he wants 55 or 56, which would force the party to reach out to a handful of Republicans.

“To me, if you can’t get a couple of Republicans on board on almost any issue, then I think you should rethink what you’re doing,” Udall said.

Udall cited his own example of bipartisanship, saying he has worked with Domenici -- the retiring Republican whose Senate seat Udall hopes to win -- on mental-health parity in the insurance industry. Both have family members who suffer from mental illness and their work on that issue has brought the families of the two politicians together, Udall said.

He said Congress will likely complete work on that issue this year on behalf of the retiring Domenici.

“I think that will be part of his legacy,” Udall said.

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7 Comments:

At 8:50 AM, June 27, 2008, Blogger Hemingway said...

Udall seems no different from other politicians regarding Wilderness. He is afraid to commit to the Wilderness designation for the Organ Mountains. He is afraid to lose votes and campaign money. Why doesn't he take a stand. Pearce did. I guess - No cojones!

 
At 9:43 AM, June 27, 2008, Blogger Hemingway said...

How long do we have to listen to wishy-washy politicians like Udall say that they have to study the wilderness issue in Dona Ana County - maybe after the election. The first real study was done in 1984. He does not want to commit. He might lose a few ranchers' votes. Unfortunately this indicates a lack of backbone - to stand up for what is right! The Dona Ana residents have waiting since 1984 for Wilderness designation.

 
At 11:12 AM, June 27, 2008, Blogger Joseph Cummins said...

This politician implies he seeks consensus on topics that he has consistently been green on. In other words, although he helped frame the current issues he now wants to be nominated because he has suddenly turned-over a new leaf.

Politicians are so admirable that I can barely contain myself when in their presence.

The subsidized green alternative energy programs won't begin to solve energy problems now nor into the foreseeable future. I am not trying to say that alternatives to traditional and abundant oil and gas should not be a part of the equation, but the propaganda, hype, pandering, blaming, conservation ploys and regulatory tactics have not and will not negate reality or replace American ingenuity.

Politicians love to claim they know the answers, when in reality they are quite ignorant, but are experts at creating nightmares they later claim to fix. All politicians need to get out of the way and leave the people alone to manage their own affairs.

When vote time arrives what are we really doing by marking spots on a ballot? Are we not attempting to steal from our neighbors or protect ourselves from those who intend legalized theft? Either way -- voting shouts -- might makes right.

 
At 1:11 PM, June 27, 2008, Blogger politicajunkie said...

After having Domenici for almost 40 years. We now have a wonderful chance to turn this seat democratic. We have an excellent candidate in Congressman Udall. We will elect Tom Udall as our senator. We need every democrat and every republican that Pearce has disappointed with hollow promises and in some cases out and out lies to support and vote for Tom. Although Jose Garcia brings up some good points, it is my understanding that he has never been able to predict correctly an election outcome. Although Dona Ana is crucial to winning this senate seat,we must remember that Otero County and specifically Alamogordo is Pearce's base. If we as democrats want to win this seat and we do, then I think it would be prudent for Professor Garcia not to say he thinks Pearce can win. It will drive down the vote for Udall if people perceive that it would be futile for you to support and vote for Udall. I am willing to help Tom Udall in anyway I can to win this seat because I know he can. We cannot continue to accept Pearce's true conservatism baloney and voting lockstep with Bush. Coservatism got us into this war and this awful economy. We are in our 6th year of this war. We need change and we need now. And we need to leave Pearce ,the oil man behind in the dust.

 
At 4:38 PM, June 27, 2008, Blogger wantahonestman said...

Yea, I love Udall's plan - let's remove yet more land (federal, not public) so that the common man can't profit from any development that might occur. God forbid - they're might be a butterfly or owl that needs that land. Who cares that hard working Americans are choosing between gasoline and food. When is the voting public going to say "enough" to this kind of stupidity. Mother Earth has not been destroyed yet, she has survived fire and ice and species have evolved and disappeared. I for one am glad I don't have dinos running around my yard threatening my life. Get a grip America. It's time to tell our elected officials that PEOPLE are the valuable item THEY WERE ELECTED TO SERVE, not the enviros who dump money into their campaigns to save absolutely everything except human beings. I'm sick, sick, sick of this foolish government. When did we decide as a nation that the only way to have a life was to allow the government to run it for us. Wake up, Wake up, Wake up before you find yourself enslaved living on government dole. Of course if they have 100% control noone will ask them to explain their actions. It is way past time to call for a return to sanity!!!

 
At 9:04 AM, July 01, 2008, Blogger Jose Z. Garcia said...

politicajunkie is correct to hint that I occasionally miss a prediction in an election. I have a hard enough time predicting the present or past, let alone the future. But I must point out that I have a nearly 100% record of accuracy in races such as the House District 52 race won last month by Joseph Cervantes, where the incumbent has no opponent.

 
At 3:37 PM, July 01, 2008, Blogger Voter said...

When Udall says he has to study the issue, it means he doesnt know anything about it, which translates to, he doesnt know ANYTHING about southern NM and if elected as Senator southern NM will not even be on his radar!

 

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